基辛格警告拜登不要与中国进行无休止的对抗

 政治学

基辛格警告拜登不要与中国进行无休止的对抗

现年99岁的尼克松最高外交官谈美中关系的现状

他说欧洲领导人已经失去了欧洲大陆的方向感

作者：Courtney McBride+Follow

2022年7月20日 上午5:36 [北京时间+8]

美国前国务卿亨利-基辛格说，今天的地缘政治需要 "尼克松式的灵活性"，以帮助化解美国和中国之间以及俄罗斯和欧洲其他国家之间的冲突。

在警告中国不应成为全球霸主的同时，这位曾在1970年代帮助重建美中关系的人说，乔-拜登总统应警惕让国内政治干扰 "理解中国的永久性的重要性"。

"拜登和前几届政府过多地受到国内对中国看法的影响，"99岁的基辛格周二在纽约接受彭博新闻社主编约翰-米克尔斯维特的采访时说。"当然，防止中国或任何其他国家的霸权主义是很重要的。"

但是，"这不是通过无休止的对抗可以实现的，"他在由Intelligence Squared US和How To Academy制作的采访中补充说。他以前曾说过，美国和中国之间日益敌对的关系有可能导致全球 "堪比第一次世界大战的灾难"。

前总统理查德-尼克松在20世纪60年代作为一个激烈的反共分子进行竞选，但他决定与毛泽东的中国接触，并于1972年访问北京，这成为两国的历史转折点，这让他的许多支持者感到惊讶。

地缘政治和大国关系是基辛格的新书《领导力》的中心主题。世界战略的六项研究》，该书重点介绍了六位关键领导人。德国的康拉德-阿登纳、法国的戴高乐、尼克松、埃及的安瓦尔-萨达特、英国首相玛格丽特-撒切尔和新加坡有影响力的第一任总理李光耀。

在他近一个世纪的生活中，基辛格认识了他所列举的所有六位领导人，并且通过他的咨询公司，他继续成为从北京到华盛顿的全球事务的一个受欢迎的声音。

在回顾从法国的埃马纽埃尔-马克龙到德国的奥拉夫-肖尔茨等当今欧洲领导人的表现时，基辛格说，让他感到悲哀的是，目前的 "欧洲领导人没有以前的国家元首，如阿登纳和戴高乐，为他们的角色带来的方向感和使命感"。

关于欧洲最大的危机--俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争，基辛格说，他今年早些时候发表的关于通过谈判结束战争的起点的评论被误报了。他说，他认为谈判的时机越来越近了，他说关于克里米亚的未来的讨论应该留给谈判，而不是在冲突暂停之前确定。克里米亚在2014年被俄罗斯夺取之前是乌克兰的领土。

基辛格认为中国在未来十年内不会入侵台湾

而关于英国脱欧的动荡，基辛格说，戴高乐的观点--英国 "永远不会成为欧洲社会的全心全意的成员"--已被证明是合理的。

当被问及他书中描述的领导人在当今世界的表现时，基辛格说，如果有可能的话，新加坡的李光耀将是六位美国总统中最好的，也是最善于处理气候变化这一长期挑战的。

在被问及谁会是与俄罗斯总统普京最有力的谈判者时，基辛格选择了法国的戴高乐，然后补充说："尼克松会相当不错。"

尼克松是 "一位非常好的外交政策总统。他在国内毁了自己，"基辛格说。

在一个不太重要的问题上，基辛格说，英国的 "铁娘子 "撒切尔是他挑选的最有趣的晚餐伴侣，她在国内面对工会，在国外面对阿根廷的独裁统治，同时成为她的国家在20世纪任期最长的总理。

Politics

Kissinger Warns Biden Against Endless Confrontation With China

Nixon’s top diplomat, now 99, talks about US-China ties now

Says European leaders have lost continent’s sense of direction

ByCourtney McBride+Follow

2022年7月20日 上午5:36 [GMT+8]

Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said geopolitics today requires “Nixonian flexibility” to help defuse conflicts between the US and China as well as between Russia and the rest of Europe. 

While warning that China shouldn’t become a global hegemon, the man who helped reestablish US-China ties in the 1970s said that President Joe Biden should be wary of letting domestic politics interfere with “the importance of understanding the permanence of China.”

“Biden and previous administrations have been too much influenced by the domestic aspects of the view of China,” Kissinger, 99, said in an interview Tuesday in New York with Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait. “It is, of course, important to prevent Chinese or any other country’s hegemony.”

But “that is not something that can be achieved by endless confrontations,” he added in the interview produced by Intelligence Squared US and How To Academy. He’s previously said the increasingly adversarial relations between the US and China risk a global “catastrophe comparable to World War I.”

Former President Richard Nixon campaigned in the 1960s as a vehement anti-Communist, yet surprised many of his supporters by deciding to engage Mao Zedong’s China and visit Beijing in 1972 on a trip that became a historic turning point for both nations. 

Geopolitics and great-power relations are a central theme of Kissinger’s new book, “Leadership: Six Studies in World Strategy,” that focuses on six key leaders: Germany’s Konrad Adenauer, France’s Charles de Gaulle, Nixon, Egypt’s Anwar Sadat, UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and Singapore’s influential first Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew. 

In his near-century of life, Kissinger has known all six of the leaders whose examples he cites, and through his advisory firm he continues to be a sought-out voice on global affairs from Beijing to Washington. 

Reviewing the performance of today’s European leaders from France’s Emmanuel Macron to Germany’s Olaf Scholz, Kissinger said it made him sad that current “European leadership does not have the sense of direction and mission” that previous heads of state, such as Adenauer and de Gaulle, brought to their roles. 

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Politics

Kissinger Warns Biden Against Endless Confrontation With China

Nixon’s top diplomat, now 99, talks about US-China ties now

Says European leaders have lost continent’s sense of direction

ByCourtney McBride+Follow

2022年7月20日 上午5:36 [GMT+8]

Former US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger said geopolitics today requires “Nixonian flexibility” to help defuse conflicts between the US and China as well as between Russia and the rest of Europe. 

While warning that China shouldn’t become a global hegemon, the man who helped reestablish US-China ties in the 1970s said that President Joe Biden should be wary of letting domestic politics interfere with “the importance of understanding the permanence of China.”

“Biden and previous administrations have been too much influenced by the domestic aspects of the view of China,” Kissinger, 99, said in an interview Tuesday in New York with Bloomberg News Editor-in-Chief John Micklethwait. “It is, of course, important to prevent Chinese or any other country’s hegemony.”

But “that is not something that can be achieved by endless confrontations,” he added in the interview produced by Intelligence Squared US and How To Academy. He’s previously said the increasingly adversarial relations between the US and China risk a global “catastrophe comparable to World War I.”

Kissinger Warns Against Endless US, China Confrontation

Kissinger Warns Against Endless Confrontation Between US, ChinaSource: Bloomberg

Former President Richard Nixon campaigned in the 1960s as a vehement anti-Communist, yet surprised many of his supporters by deciding to engage Mao Zedong’s China and visit Beijing in 1972 on a trip that became a historic turning point for both nations. 

Geopolitics and great-power relations are a central theme of Kissinger’s new book, “Leadership: Six Studies in World Strategy,” that focuses on six key leaders: Germany’s Konrad Adenauer, France’s Charles de Gaulle, Nixon, Egypt’s Anwar Sadat, UK Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and Singapore’s influential first Prime Minister Lee Kuan Yew. 

In his near-century of life, Kissinger has known all six of the leaders whose examples he cites, and through his advisory firm he continues to be a sought-out voice on global affairs from Beijing to Washington. 

Reviewing the performance of today’s European leaders from France’s Emmanuel Macron to Germany’s Olaf Scholz, Kissinger said it made him sad that current “European leadership does not have the sense of direction and mission” that previous heads of state, such as Adenauer and de Gaulle, brought to their roles. 

Kissinger Warns Biden of U.S.-China Catastrophe on Scale of WWI

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On Europe’s biggest crisis -- Russia’s war in Ukraine -- Kissinger said comments he made earlier this year about the starting point for a negotiated end to the war have been misreported. Saying he thinks the timing for talks is getting closer, he said discussions about Crimea’s future should be left for negotiations, not determined before the conflict is paused. Crimea was Ukraine’s territory before Russia seized it in 2014. 

Kissinger Doesn’t See China Invasion of Taiwan in Next Decade

And on the turmoil of Brexit, Kissinger said de Gaulle’s view -- that Great Britain “would never be a wholehearted member of the European community” -- has proven justified. 

Asked how the leaders portrayed in his book would fare in today’s world, Kissinger said Singapore’s Lee would be the best of the six to serve as US president, if such a thing were possible, and also the best at dealing with the long-term challenge of climate change. 

Pressed on who would be the strongest negotiator with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Kissinger opted for France’s de Gaulle, then added “Nixon would be quite good.” 

Nixon was “a very good foreign-policy president. He destroyed himself domestically,” Kissinger said. 

On a less weighty issue, Kissinger said Thatcher, the British “Iron Lady” who faced down labor unions at home and Argentina’s dictatorship abroad while becoming her nation’s longest serving prime minister of the 20th century, would be his pick for most interesting dinner companion. 

On Europe’s biggest crisis -- Russia’s war in Ukraine -- Kissinger said comments he made earlier this year about the starting point for a negotiated end to the war have been misreported. Saying he thinks the timing for talks is getting closer, he said discussions about Crimea’s future should be left for negotiations, not determined before the conflict is paused. Crimea was Ukraine’s territory before Russia seized it in 2014. 

Kissinger Doesn’t See China Invasion of Taiwan in Next Decade

And on the turmoil of Brexit, Kissinger said de Gaulle’s view -- that Great Britain “would never be a wholehearted member of the European community” -- has proven justified. 

Asked how the leaders portrayed in his book would fare in today’s world, Kissinger said Singapore’s Lee would be the best of the six to serve as US president, if such a thing were possible, and also the best at dealing with the long-term challenge of climate change. 

Pressed on who would be the strongest negotiator with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Kissinger opted for France’s de Gaulle, then added “Nixon would be quite good.” 

Nixon was “a very good foreign-policy president. He destroyed himself domestically,” Kissinger said. 

On a less weighty issue, Kissinger said Thatcher, the British “Iron Lady” who faced down labor unions at home and Argentina’s dictatorship abroad while becoming her nation’s longest serving prime minister of the 20th century, would be his pick for most interesting dinner companion.